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I think ultimately the arguments against Bitcoin here revolve around it (still) being a speculative asset. I believe that speculative assets would inherently ha
by sf_rob 4y ago
I think ultimately the arguments against Bitcoin here revolve around it (still) being a speculative asset. I believe that speculative assets would inherently have the following properties:
* Are high beta (outsized correlation with general market moves)
* Are not (primarily) counter inflationary due inflation being a much smaller and uncorrelated to negatively correlated with speculation
* Are not (primarily) priced by scarcity since sentiment will effect price more than predictably slowing supply
* Are not (primarily) priced by usage since speculation is a greater use case for the time being
It remains to be seen whether Bitcoin will move into a more mature category. I have a small position (~1%, selling along the way) in Bitcoin under the digital gold argument/for fun, but I expect it to remain more volatile than gold for the foreseeable future.