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> I agree that this is the case in the short run. But I do not believe this is the case in the long run. And there are great investors out there who hold this v
by CTDOCodebases 4y ago
> I agree that this is the case in the short run. But I do not believe this is the case in the long run. And there are great investors out there who hold this view.
I think it comes down to the fact that people typically buy shares in order to make a gain at some point in the future so they have to come up with a believable story as to why their desire will play itself out. Some peoples stories simulate reality better than others so they tend to do well in the stock market. Others shape the narrative so they do well also.
Ultimately though I think something is only worth what someone else will pay for it.
The original comment I replied to was horrified that people in the crypto industry would profit off something that they believed was worthless. They didn't acknowledge that this takes place all the time throughout society and ultimately it doesn't matter what a seller thinks something is worth since they can't predict the future or know what the buyer values about whatever they are buying. I think as long as a seller doesn't intentionally mislead a buyer as to what they are purchasing then they have done no wrong.
> You may be right. The only issue is that when someone offers you a guaranteed 12% or guaranteed 20% annual return on your money in a near 0% interest environment then it seems too good to be true. And it was too good to be true in the case of that recently collapsed 'luna' coin which wiped out 45 billion of investor money.
A high APY isn't the concern for me. It's who is offering the APY and how well is their platform engineered. Funding fees on exchanges are a lot more than 10% PA and there is no way to get a traditional loan from a bank to trade crypto on an exchange. That explains why a 10% APY for a coin pegged to the dollar is not uncommon in an environment where trade volumes are high. I would be more worried about a sustained contraction of the overall crypto market based on what I know/suspect about USDT (Tether).
As for the debacle that was UST/LUNA I think marketing a coin as "stable" when the stabilizing mechanism assumes no large outflows and no slippage is reckless at best.