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> Are their countries with negative nominal rates without asset bubbles? That's very hard to know, but to be clear it's negative real rates that drive the bubb
by jbay808 4y ago
> Are their countries with negative nominal rates without asset bubbles?
That's very hard to know, but to be clear it's negative real rates that drive the bubbles. There's much more incentive to speculate when cash is a hot potato. For example Japan is much less bubbly these days than in the 1980s, even though nominal interest rates are lower now.
> Have their been high interest rate countries with asset bubbles? E.g., dutch 1600s interest rates or 16% during Tulipmania.
Presumably, that's why Tulipmania was confined to tulips, instead of spreading euphoria to absolutely every asset class. Even with high rates it's absolutely possible to have local bubbles in things like tulips, beanie babies, or Dogecoin. It only takes the promise of high real returns. When real interest rates are negative, even the promise of zero real return becomes mouthwatering.
- abirch 4y ago> That's very hard to know, but to be clear it's negative real rates that drive the bubbles. Real rates are usually negative. Real interest rates defined as the Nominal Rate - Inflation. Japan has a negative nominal rate right now.
- jbay808 4y ago> Real rates are usually negative. Let me put that a bit more precisely: https://www.longtermtrends.net/real-interest-rate/ https://www.longtermtrends.net/real-interest-rate/