4 ms·
There are domains where I feel I can judge an argument solely on its content. Predicting the economy isn't one of them. While I can discard some bogus arguments
by tlb 4y ago
There are domains where I feel I can judge an argument solely on its content. Predicting the economy isn't one of them. While I can discard some bogus arguments, there are plenty of coherent and self-consistent arguments pointing in different directions. So I have to consider the source.
- soheil 4y agoI'm still not sure why you'd weigh his opinion higher, he may be honest or have experienced more recessions than you have, but why not find an old columnist who doesn't lie? His lack of consideration for the other parts of the economy like real estate, etc. and his focus on startups to me seems like a handicap and not something that makes his economic predictions more accurate.