> The article acknowledges this somewhat, but it’s an example of another confidence fallacy: The idea that nobody knows what they’re talking about. It was the

> The article acknowledges this somewhat, but it’s an example of another confidence fallacy: The idea that nobody knows what they’re talking about. It was the opposite for me realization for . When I was young I was assuming if somebody was saying something, they were likely knowing what they were talking about. After a bit of a ride in life, I know now that people that does do exist, but they are a rare bread, and usually about some very specific topic. Competent people are the exception, not the rule, degraded mode is the default for humanity, and we are pretty good at going with it. At the beginning I though: what they are doing must be complicated, since it takes so much time and effort, or since there is so much debate about it. One day, you have to do it yourself, or you are behind the curtain, and you realize in 2 years anybody seriously working at it would be better that those life timers. But still, because of the social pressure, playing pretend is the status quo for most. Not just about jobs, not just about science, but about pretty basic things in life as well. In fact, we are constructing a lot of our society around myths that are emerging because of this collecting behavior. It's quite fascinating to watch unfold, but it's such a waste of potential.