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> That means a lot of “lucky” decisions that good players make actually had a much higher probability of success One thing I like about poker is that winning i
by kqr 4y ago
> That means a lot of “lucky” decisions that good players make actually had a much higher probability of success
One thing I like about poker is that winning in the long run is not about improving your probability of success, it's about improving the expected profits. So you could actually start winning more by playing lower-probability hands, as long as when you win them, your profits are much greater.
This is one of the peculiar life lessons of Poker that I haven't seen many other places.
Is bridge like that or is it purely about probabilities?
- Chris_Newton 4y agoYes, that’s a big element in bridge as well. Both phases of the game are built around a combination of smaller/incremental scores combined with key thresholds where you get big bonuses if you try to reach them and make it but there is also a high cost if you over-reach and miss. Depending on the tactical situation and the precise form of scoring, making it to a key threshold or preventing your opponents from doing so could be the only thing that really matters. You’ll gladly sacrifice a smaller ± score even with a high probability of winning a few extra points from it in order to achieve your main objective more reliably. However, in other tactical situations or forms of scoring, whether or not a side reaches a key threshold is mostly irrelevant and the relatively small variations add up to make all the difference over time.