3 ms·
Variance in poker evens out over months, not a single session. A competent but not great player can definitely beat a pro in a single session.
by Mikeb85 4y ago
Variance in poker evens out over months, not a single session. A competent but not great player can definitely beat a pro in a single session.
- cman1444 4y agoI think you're overstating the variance. If you watch high level poker play you will consistently see the same players at the final table of big tournaments. Sure, a few lucky random players will go pretty deep in the tournament, but they just don't do it nearly as frequently as the top few guys. A competent but not great player has a chance of beating a pro in one session, but it's definitely pretty slim.
- Mikeb85 4y agoWhen poker players measure variance, it's $$$ over time. And while some pros are indeed good are surviving the bubble in fishy tournaments, none make a perfectly consistent income. Even amongst crushers, the variance can be massive. For every tournament you make a big score, you crash out of 5 and get min payout on a few more. Many of the biggest names in poker have been the biggest losers in a given calendar period. For example, Gus Hansen and Daniel Negreanu are two of the biggest winners of all time yet also have some of the biggest documented losses...
- DarylZero 4y agoNot clear how long your "sessions" are but they have poker tournaments where the same people regularly make it to the top.
- Mikeb85 4y agoNot as regularly as you think. Earnings vary a lot. As for how long a session is? 8 hours. I made a living from poker for a few years.