I wonder if this is based on a statistical summary over your experience. What does your confusion matrix [1] look like? Also: (1) It is easy to say "from my ex

I wonder if this is based on a statistical summary over your experience. What does your confusion matrix [1] look like? Also: (1) It is easy to say "from my experience" without sampling from it representatively. (2) It can be difficult, in general, to gather life experience that is balanced across all four elements of the confusion matrix. (This is a general statement that includes survivorship bias.) [1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Confusion_matrix https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Confusion_matrix