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Any "science" that can't reliably make reliably make predictions isn't a science. That's the litmus test.
by guerrilla 4y ago
Any "science" that can't reliably make reliably make predictions isn't a science. That's the litmus test.
- slothtrop 4y agoYou've just eliminated all social sciences, by your metric of "reliably". edit: your take-away from this should be that you're mis-defining science. edit2: you all forgot that medical and nutritional science has a reproducibility crisis, it's no less "science" for it. Add to the fact, the notion that nothing is reproducible in Economics is false. See for example: https://www.caltech.edu/about/news/famous-economics-experiment-reproduced-thousands-times https://www.caltech.edu/about/news/famous-economics-experime... , https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.aaf0918 https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.aaf0918
- ur-whale 4y ago> You've just eliminated all social sciences Because they're indeed not sciences. They call themselves that to attract funding. Predictive power and reproducibility are defining characteristics of sciences. Social "sciences" have neither and therefore aren't sciences.
- guerrilla 4y agoAbsolutely. > edit: your take-away from this should be that you're mis-defining science. No thanks.
- slothtrop 4y agoreproducibility has improved over time as well - https://pubs.aeaweb.org/doi/pdfplus/10.1257/jel.20171350 https://pubs.aeaweb.org/doi/pdfplus/10.1257/jel.20171350
- dotopotoro 4y agoWhat kind of precision of prediction is required? Economics predict some things. For example if you print exceedingly a lot moneys, inflation will happen. At the same time, physicists have problem telling precise location and momentum of the atom (at the same time; precisely). (footnote: I love physics more than economics, but world is not perfect and sciences are not perfect. Except for math maybe https://xkcd.com/435 https://xkcd.com/435 . Perfection and usefulness are not the same)
- initplus 4y agoVolcanologists cannot exactly predict when a volcano will erupt. Seismologists cannot exactly predict when an earthquake will happen. Both can only offer uncertain probabilities. But these are definitely both sciences.
- guerrilla 4y agoThey don't have to predict everything, especially things that aren't predictable.