4 ms·

> because after 30 years living abroad The EU expansion where the poorest countries joined happened in 2004., and mass migration didn't really happen until the

> because after 30 years living abroad The EU expansion where the poorest countries joined happened in 2004., and mass migration didn't really happen until the aftermath of 2008, so it's 15 years at most. > they have noone left "back at home", their kids go to school in EU This is not true for most. They have plenty of friends and extended family is back home. > their pensions are there You can collect your pension from one EU country in another. > so they stay. No idea about migration from Balkans, but it's provably false for migration from the Eastern EU members. Even to the English speaking countries (UK, Ireland), where the language barrier is less of an issue.

ajsnigrutin 4y ago
The migrations were not just intra-EU, they were from outside of EU too, eg balkan states, the turks in germany, etc.
- sgjohnson 4y ago
  That's irrelevant then. It's significantly easier to return to your home country knowing that you could always go back to Germany etc without too much hassle. For non-EU citizens/permanent residence holders (which is actually not as simple to acquire as it sounds) it's a far more difficult decision that it is for EU citizens. In the extreme case of the United States, if you leave the US for more than 6 months as a green card holder without acquiring a re-entry permit (which is good for only up to 2 years. There's no way to leave the US for more than 2 years as a green card holder and to be able to return with any certainty) And even worse, virtually all illegals in the US are inadmissible for 10 years after they leave the US, so there's no path to legal status for them at all. And if they have illegally re-entered after deportation, they are banned for life.
  - runarberg 4y ago
    This is a really good point. Liberating migrations will change the behavior of migrants and hence the dynamics are completely different. This is often talked about in the context of decriminalizing drugs. If you apply the current behavior to drug users to a world where access to drugs is less restricted, you can come up with all sorts of weird problems, which will simply not manifest because the nature of drug use is completely different when it is not a crime. Similarly applying the current behavior of restricted migrants to a world where migration is free, is a little misguided.
    - sgjohnson 4y ago
      Exactly. The non-EU migrants to the EU have to go through a lot of paperwork and it takes a lot of time. And if you then leave without naturalizing (which for most non-EU citizens is probably going to take over 10 years from the day of arrival, not to mention the daunting requirements to actually achieve it in most of the EU), you’ll likely have to through the same paperwork again, because “permanent residence” is only permanent if you remain a resident. For example I’m a permanent resident in the UK (under the EU settlement scheme, post-Brexit), but I haven’t lived in the UK for 2 years now. So in 3 years my status there will lapse. I can go back now, but I won’t be able to in 3 years. And I have it easy. Permanent resident status (ILR, or indefinite leave to remain, as it’s called in the UK) lapses in 2 years for people who didn’t gain it under the EU settlement scheme. I went back to my home country precisely because I knew that it’s no big deal for the next 5 years. I wouldn’t have left if I knew that I’d have to return within 2 years. I would have naturalised, and maybe then. Which, again, costs a lot of money, takes a lot of paperwork, and takes a lot of time. (Which, again, is easy for me, because my home country allows you to hold multiple citizenships. That’s not the case for everyone.)

ajsnigrutin 4y ago

The migrations were not just intra-EU, they were from outside of EU too, eg balkan states, the turks in germany, etc.

sgjohnson 4y ago
That's irrelevant then. It's significantly easier to return to your home country knowing that you could always go back to Germany etc without too much hassle. For non-EU citizens/permanent residence holders (which is actually not as simple to acquire as it sounds) it's a far more difficult decision that it is for EU citizens. In the extreme case of the United States, if you leave the US for more than 6 months as a green card holder without acquiring a re-entry permit (which is good for only up to 2 years. There's no way to leave the US for more than 2 years as a green card holder and to be able to return with any certainty) And even worse, virtually all illegals in the US are inadmissible for 10 years after they leave the US, so there's no path to legal status for them at all. And if they have illegally re-entered after deportation, they are banned for life.
- runarberg 4y ago
  This is a really good point. Liberating migrations will change the behavior of migrants and hence the dynamics are completely different. This is often talked about in the context of decriminalizing drugs. If you apply the current behavior to drug users to a world where access to drugs is less restricted, you can come up with all sorts of weird problems, which will simply not manifest because the nature of drug use is completely different when it is not a crime. Similarly applying the current behavior of restricted migrants to a world where migration is free, is a little misguided.
  - sgjohnson 4y ago
    Exactly. The non-EU migrants to the EU have to go through a lot of paperwork and it takes a lot of time. And if you then leave without naturalizing (which for most non-EU citizens is probably going to take over 10 years from the day of arrival, not to mention the daunting requirements to actually achieve it in most of the EU), you’ll likely have to through the same paperwork again, because “permanent residence” is only permanent if you remain a resident. For example I’m a permanent resident in the UK (under the EU settlement scheme, post-Brexit), but I haven’t lived in the UK for 2 years now. So in 3 years my status there will lapse. I can go back now, but I won’t be able to in 3 years. And I have it easy. Permanent resident status (ILR, or indefinite leave to remain, as it’s called in the UK) lapses in 2 years for people who didn’t gain it under the EU settlement scheme. I went back to my home country precisely because I knew that it’s no big deal for the next 5 years. I wouldn’t have left if I knew that I’d have to return within 2 years. I would have naturalised, and maybe then. Which, again, costs a lot of money, takes a lot of paperwork, and takes a lot of time. (Which, again, is easy for me, because my home country allows you to hold multiple citizenships. That’s not the case for everyone.)