Actually the OP is correct - the odds of dying are 44.75%, while the odds of surviving are the corollary of 55.25%, i.e. greater than even. Edit: Nope I'm wron

Actually the OP is correct - the odds of dying are 44.75%, while the odds of surviving are the corollary of 55.25%, i.e. greater than even. Edit: Nope I'm wrong, just redid the math. Apologies.