4 ms·
> Arcane Research assigned a numeric score between 1 and -1 to capture the pricing correlation between Bitcoin and the Nasdaq. A score of 1 indicated an exact c
by Barrera 4y ago
> Arcane Research assigned a numeric score between 1 and -1 to capture the pricing correlation between Bitcoin and the Nasdaq. A score of 1 indicated an exact correlation, meaning the prices moved in tandem, and a score of -1 represented an exact divergence.
> Since Jan. 1, the 30-day average of the Bitcoin-Nasdaq score has approached 1, reaching 0.82 this week, the closest it had ever been to an exact, one-to-one correlation. At the same time, Bitcoin’s price movement has diverged from fluctuations in the price of gold, the asset to which it has been most often compared.
Without context, this analysis is meaningless. What's the correlation to various tenors of US treasury over the same periods, for example? What about Nasdaq/Dow correlation? How bout the correlation with gold?
> “There was this undeniable retail belief that Bitcoin at the end of last year was an inflation hedge — it was a safe haven, it was going to replace the dollar,” said Ed Moya, a cryptocurrency analyst at the trading company OANDA. “And what happened was inflation started to become very ugly, and Bitcoin lost half of its value.”
Selective amnesia. Zoom out and you'll see a massive bull market leading up to the first signs of sustained CPI growth. Buy the rumor, sell the news could also explain it as could many other things.
- majormajor 4y agoGold and Bitcoin are clearly separated recently. Gold was up and down some itself but right now is flat over the last year, Bitcoin down 40%+. More long-term, https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S2214635021001052 https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S22146... - "near zero" between BTC and Gold.