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Have a look back at ~2014 or so. HN was extremely bullish on Bitcoin. It sometimes took up about a quarter of the articles at any given time. It promised a bri
by ISL 4y ago
Have a look back at ~2014 or so. HN was extremely bullish on Bitcoin. It sometimes took up about a quarter of the articles at any given time. It promised a bright new decentralized world and offered fertile ground for innovation. It promised to free up peer-to-peer transfers, allow some measure of anonymity in financial transactions, and perhaps even become the vehicle for microtransactions that the world so sorely needs.
Today, it is far less clear that there is something new at hand. To the extent that blockchains enable innovation, the early wins are complete and the strengths and weaknesses of the entire ecosystem largely have become clear.
In 2014, it was rather clear that blockchains had some sort of substantial potential value, something competitive with the total amount of money circulating in the world. In 2022, cryptocurrency is worth that much. Bitcoin alone is "worth" perhaps a trillion dollars, while M1 is around 20 trillion.
What we're seeing today is a lack of clarity and direction. HN was stoked on crypto when it offered something new. Today, crypto offers a lot of pump-and-dump schemes and financial curiosities, but nothing like the promise and obvious direction it held in 2014.
Something cool and new may yet emerge -- expect HN to get real excited when it does happen.
- I_DRINK_KOOLAID 4y ago> Bitcoin alone is "worth" perhaps a trillion dollars, while M1 is around 20 trillion. You can't compare the liquidity of M1 with the liquidity of BTC. M1 USD is accepted everywhere, ranging from a 300M apartment on NYC's Billionaire's Row to a banana stand in Madagascar. If you believe that BTC would get to that level of acceptance then it's still the early days. Honestly after looking under the hood the technical part of it seems like a solution on search for a problem, unless the problem you aim to solve is wealth redistribution with the same GINI index (or even higher given the concetration of wealth in the ecosystem). Similarly the social aspect of decentralization is a really hard sell when you have Satoshi sitting on 30B and Buterin sitting on 15B and they hold so much power.