Russia with it's vast territory is surprisingly self-sufficient and resilient. Their consumers might have shortage of avocados, their oligarchs will have net wo

Russia with it's vast territory is surprisingly self-sufficient and resilient. Their consumers might have shortage of avocados, their oligarchs will have net worth cut from dozens of billions to single billions. They will evolve into something different and then Germany, Netherlands, Italy and others will again start pumping money into it. Unfortunately the true loser is Ukraine. Now they're completely dependent on the western world while being outside of its political and military unions, treaties, and organizations. Resentment of their population can lead back to oligarchy and corruption known from 90s and 00s and return to the vicious circle of misery.