Reminded me of the ray kurtzweil predictions: extremely generous grading. This issue of grading fuzzy predictions is somewhat applicable to political pundits a

Reminded me of the ray kurtzweil predictions: extremely generous grading. This issue of grading fuzzy predictions is somewhat applicable to political pundits and stock market gurus as well. There's an entire body of knowledge on how to create objectively measurable predictions (the book Superforecasting covers), but the mainstream isn't there yet.