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Not only that but most of his correct "predictions" would have been true in 2012 using is very definitions of success. It doesn't really count as a prediction i

Not only that but most of his correct "predictions" would have been true in 2012 using is very definitions of success. It doesn't really count as a prediction if it's already existing and adoption is growing before your eyes. - traffic jams: GPS was widely used well before 2012, and by 2012 iphone adoption was already quite high. Plenty of people were already using google maps for directions with traffic info. - Attracting a bar-tender's attention. The ipad came out in 2010 and I definitely recall a few novelty "order with an ipad" applications popping up right away. Sure the penetration wasn't that deep, but it existed and still isn't anywhere near universal today. - Recharging gadgets. This has probably changed the most since 2012, but USB ports were already starting to show up in airplanes and hipper hotel rooms. - Replacing used up items. Sure instacart was just starting out in 2012, but Task Rabbit had been around for a few years, and at least in SF, was used by a fair number of people. - Waiting for a taxi. Uber was founded in 2009, and I distinctly remember it had already dominated SF by that point. Sure it hadn't expanded to other cities yet, but taxis in the Bay area where already widely replaced. Uber was arguably better in SF in 2012 than it is in 2022

thewebcount 4y ago
Regarding this one: > - Attracting a bar-tender's attention. The ipad came out in 2010 and I definitely recall a few novelty "order with an ipad" applications popping up right away. Sure the penetration wasn't that deep, but it existed and still isn't anywhere near universal today. Just before the pandemic my spouse and I went to a TGI Friday’s for the first time in about 15 years. Every table now has an iPad where you can request drink refills, dessert, etc. and the kids can play games. It was super distracting, flashing at us the entire time. We ended up turning it around so we didn’t have to see it. But apparently all the restaurants like that (Chili’s, Appleby’s, Olive Garden, etc.) have these now. They are ubiquitous if that’s the type of place you eat. (Granted, it’s not at a bar, but at a restaurant.) It is much more convenient than trying to get your server’s attention when you want a water refill or whatever, but like I said, also really irritating to have it constantly demanding your attention.

thewebcount 4y ago

Regarding this one: > - Attracting a bar-tender's attention. The ipad came out in 2010 and I definitely recall a few novelty "order with an ipad" applications popping up right away. Sure the penetration wasn't that deep, but it existed and still isn't anywhere near universal today. Just before the pandemic my spouse and I went to a TGI Friday’s for the first time in about 15 years. Every table now has an iPad where you can request drink refills, dessert, etc. and the kids can play games. It was super distracting, flashing at us the entire time. We ended up turning it around so we didn’t have to see it. But apparently all the restaurants like that (Chili’s, Appleby’s, Olive Garden, etc.) have these now. They are ubiquitous if that’s the type of place you eat. (Granted, it’s not at a bar, but at a restaurant.) It is much more convenient than trying to get your server’s attention when you want a water refill or whatever, but like I said, also really irritating to have it constantly demanding your attention.