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I can agree with everything that you’re saying! I think there’s one piece missing which changes the nature of the analysis. If fossil fuel deposits were like w
by zaroth 4y ago
I can agree with everything that you’re saying! I think there’s one piece missing which changes the nature of the analysis.
If fossil fuel deposits were like water aquifers in the sense that they need to be protected, maintained, and replenished, that is one thing.
However I would argue this is not remotely true. We can draw down the fossil fuel reserves and never have to pay them back, if all along they way they successfully usher human civilization and technological advancement into a blooming post-petro society.
I don’t think the Earth as a habitat is worse off for not having extractable oil reserves left over by 2200 as long as human society doesn’t depend on them to function.
In essence these fuels are an essential stepping stone to technologically advanced society.
Without easily extractable high energy density liquids I don’t see how human civilization would have gotten to this point, and there’s a non-sci-fi future where we successfully move past them as it becomes economically exigent.
- dredmorbius 4y agoYou "if"s and "so long as"s are doing one hell of a lot of heavy lifting here. The alternative hypothesis is that fossil fuels have served as a form of whalefall benefitting humans, promoting a brief fluouresence of intense technological culture which will last so long as the resource is available, before fading back to the background noise level. There's a shortage of perfect cheap, useful, abundant energy stores in the world. It would be a pity to degrade this one completely without a viable transition plan.