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The way M&A usually works is that all sides have bankers/advisers who run Excel spreadsheet calculations that come out with different precise numbers depending
by t_mann 4y ago
The way M&A usually works is that all sides have bankers/advisers who run Excel spreadsheet calculations that come out with different precise numbers depending on a couple of scenario parameters. Those are put on PowerPoint slides and presented to management. The decision whether to go with one of the precise numbers (or some aggregate thereof), or some close by round number has more to do with bidding tactics, game theory and psychology, so I think this research actually quite interesting.
If you're a manager involved in some bidding process, what this article is telling you could be somewhat loosely rephrased as "use the Excel numbers rather than the ones that stuck in your head after the presentation", which is interesting advice.
- gowld 4y agoIf your Excel is done properly, you wouldn't have the sigfigs for a precise number.
- t0mas88 4y agoI've seen a few M&A experts run their spreadsheets and then the negotiations happened. In reality 90% of the outcome was determined by how competitive the bidding was and how willing the target company seemed to walk away. All spreadsheets went out the window in the first phase.