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The criteria here is apparently: > The economist said a given housing market is considered overvalued if property costs in the area are "well above" the histor
by majormajor 5y ago
The criteria here is apparently:
> The economist said a given housing market is considered overvalued if property costs in the area are "well above" the historical relationship between home prices and incomes, rents and construction costs.
Which, no surprise there, prices are up in a lot of places!
Whether or not that is "overvalued" or suggests a crash coming seems a lot more complicated. Would historical trends hold if historical conditions have changed? Mortgage rates rising are one of those things you'd expect to certainly arrest some of that price acceleration. If everyone who moved to Boise decides to move out of Boise, that's another one. (Though if a bunch of folks moved back from Boise to SF, that's not gonna cool down the also-seen-as-somewhat-overvalued SF market!)
Maybe a bunch of folks are just spending a bunch of crypto winnings, naturally causing inflation but not necessarily leading to a crash. ;)