ALL systems and processes (not just IT) tend towards complexity well past the sweet spot ( up until the sweet spot they were beneficial.) So to answer your que

ALL systems and processes (not just IT) tend towards complexity well past the sweet spot ( up until the sweet spot they were beneficial.) So to answer your question - most of the industry will not move to simpler solutions. It goes without saying that a small fraction of the industry does require those complex systems, but they are relatively rare.