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>I believe that the collapse of our global civilization is both inevitable and imminent. Climate changes make it inevitable. Peak oil and cultural bankruptcy ma
by incomingpain 5y ago
>I believe that the collapse of our global civilization is both inevitable and imminent. Climate changes make it inevitable. Peak oil and cultural bankruptcy make it imminent.
Climate change isn't making it inevitable. In fact, climate change and a shift in society will make the collapse impossible. The economic boost of needing to adjust society to handle the migration away from oil regardless to climate change will employ many people and should reduce scarcity greatly. Crisis situations are what bring economies to bare. It's the idea of the war economy, but really any crisis economy operates the same. We have even see the moon race economy, the entire 'crisis' can be entirely artificial.
Peak oil? No, we are artificially depressing the oil industry with carbon taxes and other similar efforts. We aren't at peak oil. Not to mention, we haven't even hit the price scarcity threshold to push synthetics to the forefront of production, and so synth peak oil hasn't even started rising.
Cultural bankruptcy? I'm not sure what that even means? Reading the footnote and the rest of the article never explains this to any satisfaction.
>What I'm more interested in is that regardless of its timeline, we're going to get there, we're going to reach the threshold where civilization collapses. So, you can make the point that civilization still stands at 3C. When does it fall? 4C? 6C? 8C?
None of these. These are all lies.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Representative_Concentration_Pathway#RCP_8.5 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Representative_Concentration_P...
Read exactly what 8.5 actually says. It's an unscientific, 'we magic coal out of thin air' to pollute more than the fossil fuel reserves could possible do and it's still only 3.7c by 2100.
There is no 4C, 6C, or 8C.
>We're going to reach it because we've already failed. 1.5C was the limit, we busted it. The goalpost has moved to 2C, but we're going to bust it too. The feedback loops have begun and are out of our control now.
Says you? That's not the limit at all.
>It's official, we've passed peak oil in 2019. Big oil now officially admits it itself: even in their more optimist predictions, they are not expecting production to reach 2019's level again.
Lol no. Tons of governments are actively working against 'big oil' and artificially created peak oil and that isn't even official like you said. In fact, your peak oil assertion was disproven only months ago post-ukraine.
>The underlying cause of this is that for 200 years, we've been on an energy binge. We're at the end of it, we're looking for our next fix, but there isn't going to be one. We just need to drastically reduce our energy consumption.
China and India is literally building Gigawatts of coal power plants right now with amortization periods of 20+ years. We are VERY far from reducing energy consumption. This binge just started.
You know what's collapsing right now. The political viewpoint that is behind this article. You can definitely tell.