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Russia in a parallel system will be able to develop its own technology. It wont happen overnight, but it will happen. If China ever wants to take over Taiwan,
by gg82 4y ago
Russia in a parallel system will be able to develop its own technology. It wont happen overnight, but it will happen. If China ever wants to take over Taiwan, it will have an interest in working with Russia. China has been building new coal and gas plants every year.... They are unlikely to shut these down before their useful life has ended - so they will need Russian Gas and Coal for decades to come. China doesn't want to be pushed around by the USA. It may be painful for them as well - but I think the will consider that they must do it.
Now lets look at the USA. Could be Oil/Gas independent, but current government makes that difficult. Dependent on Russia and China for many commodities and rare earth metals. Manafucturing sector has been exported to China over the past 20 years, meaning that many goods are not even made in the USA anymore. Huge shortage of semiconductors - which are used in every electronic product these days including cars.
The USA must start the move of Manafucturing many more products again locally. They will cost more... but if it doesn't do this it will likely be in a very bad position if China tries to take over Taiwan.
In summary global supply chains must be re-adjusted, which will take years. Whether this helps prevent further war... or adjustments are because of war will depend on how things are handled by United States politicians and business leaders. At this stage I suspect it will likely be because of war for the US/West and China will have been planing for this eventuality.