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From Wolfram Math World > Reversion to the mean, also called regression to the mean, is the statistical phenomenon stating that the greater the deviation of a
by xpe 5y ago
From Wolfram Math World
> Reversion to the mean, also called regression to the mean, is the statistical phenomenon stating that the greater the deviation of a random variate from its mean, the greater the probability that the next measured variate will deviate less far. In other words, an extreme event is likely to be followed by a less extreme event.
It is a stretch (and invalid, generally) to extrapolate this well-defined phenomenon to a complex system. There are many complex systems that maintain or increase their complexity.
- baremetal 5y ago> There are many complex systems that maintain or increase their complexity. Increased complexity is only achieved with additional energy input. im suggesting that if energy (read: money) going into the system decreases rather than increases, there will be a reduction in complexity.
- xpe 5y agoThe software industry has significant energy input.
- xpe 5y agoConsider a counterexample: an open source project that loses favor / funding / contributors. Does it become less complex? Probably not.
- baremetal 5y agowhen it comes to software, it is easier to engineer a complex solution over a simple one. so in that sense, i would agree with you.