HC's low adoption means nothing in this context as it's only targeted at tablets. However, it's important to point out that 45% of the market is still on Froyo.

HC's low adoption means nothing in this context as it's only targeted at tablets. However, it's important to point out that 45% of the market is still on Froyo. Google's taking a more heavy-handed stance on updates for new devices, so things should not be as dire on ICS as they have been with past releases. If I had to guess, I'd say 90% of current Honeycomb tablets (thanks to Google's iron-fist control of the source) and maybe 75% of current Gingerbread devices will get the bump to ICS within 6 months.