I’m not an expert, but my rough understanding is that you have to take the nominal budget, double it for marketing and other incidental stuff, then halve the no

I’m not an expert, but my rough understanding is that you have to take the nominal budget, double it for marketing and other incidental stuff, then halve the nominal revenue to account for the cuts taken by distributors and theaters and whatever. So to break even that means you need about 4x gross revenue over the nominal budget. In this case, just taking the numbers you gave, they are about $80m short of breaking even.