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>If Russia fully mobilizes Very big if here. People over here are not very eager to go to the frontline. Painting Z on your car is one thing. Marching to your
by konart 4y ago
>If Russia fully mobilizes
Very big if here. People over here are not very eager to go to the frontline. Painting Z on your car is one thing. Marching to your almost certain death is another.
>heavy weapons
I was under the impression that heave weapons are on their way already though? Old but usable T72's from Poland and some tanks\howitzers from other countries.
Surely they still need fuel, ammo and training but right now it looks like Ukraine has some time.
> occupying Ukraine.
I think the current plan is to destroy as much as possible (fuel, storages etc), cut off from support as much as possible and maybe enter Moldova.
- bryanlarsen 4y agoYes, a Russian victory requires (at least) two massive IF's. I'm mostly just pushing back against the narrative that a Ukrainian victory is inevitable. If it's seen as inevitable, then it becomes easier to justify not delivering the help they need.
- jacquesm 4y agoOr the opposite, which I think is more likely: if it is not seen as inevitable then that will justify not delivering the help they need, ensuring the outcome matches the prediction. The biggest problem right now is to maintain unity across all of the countries that are on the other side of this line, Russia has a much easier job there than the West, with Hungary and Switzerland as the latest in the pack of useful idiots carrying Putin's water for him. With friends like that you don't need enemies.