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I'm not sure if guessing the result would be any better. Knowing anything about a fair dice, you might as well just stick to the same result for all tosses. Ho
by ajmurmann 5y ago
I'm not sure if guessing the result would be any better. Knowing anything about a fair dice, you might as well just stick to the same result for all tosses.
However, I approached the exercise in the same way as you did, as an adversarial game. I tried to generate numbers that would trick a human who is tasked with filtering out the series as random. No results repeating stuck me as a tell that the series was done by a human, so I included a fair number of repetitions of the same result that's still statistically plausible. Not sure how to work around that in the instructions.
Edit: I think the study might say more about what the player thinks about other's expectation of randomness than about the player's own understanding of randomness.
- efreak 5y agoSpeaking about fair dice, I have a vague memory of reading somewhere that as dice get used, dirt builds up in the pips, causing them to be slightly off-balance. I cannot find anything about this online at all, so it might well be complete nonsense made up by whoever told me. I have, however, found that dice are not random, and that 1 is a more likely result than anything else: https://www.insidescience.org/news/dice-rolls-are-not-completely-random https://www.insidescience.org/news/dice-rolls-are-not-comple...