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Manning problems have existed for a decade, if not more. The Navy holds the sad record of being the worst managed branch of service. Steep budget cuts in the 19
by Victerius 4y ago
Manning problems have existed for a decade, if not more. The Navy holds the sad record of being the worst managed branch of service. Steep budget cuts in the 1990s and again during sequestration have had severe effects that the Navy hasn't yet recovered from. But I don't know whether that's the cause of the problem. The Navy is an especially unique branch given that it's the only service that revolves around a relatively small number of very large, very expensive assets. The Army doesn't revolve around its tanks, and the Air Force, while it revolves around planes, there are a lot more planes in the Air Force than ships in the Navy. Congress is not without blame for the Navy's problems either, apart from the budget cuts. Congress has the last word on all programs and procurement. The Littoral Combat Ships should never have seen the light of day for instance, but Congress pushed the program through, and now the ships are useless (and still being built!)
But there is hope on the horizon. The submarine construction programs (Virginia SSNs and Columbia SSBNs) are proceeding smoothly, as are the Flight III destroyers. DDG(X), the future replacement of the Arleigh-Burke class destroyers and Ticonderoga-class cruisers, is in development, and the first Constellation-class frigates will soon be laid down.
- iforgetti 4y agoWhere do you keep up with information like this? Do you have to work in the space or do you read certain periodicals or something else?
- edmundsauto 4y agoWhile there have been budget cuts, the US Navy’s budget went from ~80B in 2001 to over 160B today. Given what the US spends as a % of GDP, it feels like this should be more than enough. From afar, the problem appears to be decision makers in the Navy refusing to reduce scope and deciding to understaff.
- caffeine 4y agoI think that’s not keeping up with inflation over the same period?
- asvitkine 4y agoCumulative inflation is 62% over that period according to https://www.usinflationcalculator.com/ https://www.usinflationcalculator.com/
- gbear605 4y agoThere’s only been about 60% inflation since 2001, so assuming the above numbers are correct then that’s outpacing inflation.
- orzig 4y agoTrying to gently improve public discourse, I’d suggest that we don’t need to speculate when something is so easy to look up: https://www.wolframalpha.com/input?i=%24160B+in+2022+converted+to++2001+dollars https://www.wolframalpha.com/input?i=%24160B+in+2022+convert...
- lotsofpulp 4y agoIt is all meaningless speculation. There is no reason that broadly measured inflation statistics have any relevance to price increases specific to materials and labor required for the subject at hand, such as ship building or operations of a navy.
- JohnL4 4y ago$100 > $80. Meta: (1) Oh, that's cool, using Wolfram to look up inflation data! I'll try to remember that. (2) "Trying to gently... I'd suggest..." strikes me the same as "With the greatest respect..." Maybe just post the link next time.
- serenitylater 4y ago
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- flight3throw 4y ago> are proceeding smoothly, as are the Flight III destroyers. I would strongly advise waiting until the first Flight III ship is going on deployment before making this claim.
- rwmurrayVT 4y agoThere is misery and there is hope. The Navy has failed to accomplish the modpro packages on the current CGs & LSD, including Gettysburg, Vicksburg, and Tortuga. Those three I have personally been involved with in many ways. The 5XXX and structural work on the CG program has been wildly underestimated. The money for Tortuga was never there and as she lay idle in the shipyard problems grew. They are not simply east coast/BAE issues either. The issues repeat themselves here on the west coast at Vigor. It was a huge mistake to leave behind cost+ and switch to FFP. There is too much time lost to pointless contract fighting. There is hope on the horizon with new subs and DDGx and FFG. Time will tell if the new build construction yields a new DDG1000/LCS or a workhorse like the earlier DDG flights. As for corrosion it is a necessary evil. Too many armchair metallurgists point to various alloys as a solution. The ocean is cold, salty, and miserable. The planning yards, repair yards, and Navy are full of extremely bright and hardworking folks. It takes time and money to fight rust at sea and in port. There's a big issue with manning on the civilian and Navy side. At the end of the day there are few people in my generation lining up to enlist or to do body-damaging labor. I can't say I blame them.. I became and engineer and then joined program management. Few in the yards want the same for their children as they had in their life. Those who are left are primarily 30+ years of experience or 1-5 years of experience looking to get out.