5 ms·

That statistics are also weird. Not necessarily wrong, but the article doesn't control for the rate of COVID infection in Israel, which is a major cofounder, a

by sgent 4y ago

That statistics are also weird. Not necessarily wrong, but the article doesn't control for the rate of COVID infection in Israel, which is a major cofounder, and of the three authors one is an ER doc and two are Management professors -- no epidemiologists, public health, or other expertise. They also pick seemingly random periods of time to analyze against each other. My guess is that a more correctly written paper would have been published in a better journal (maybe even Nature) if it got the same results, but it didn't.

schiffern 4y ago
No control for air pollution either, since the time series is confounded by a lockdown-induced drop[0][1] and subsequent rebound. Nitrogen dioxide from vehicles and factories seems to cause an increase in heart attacks within one hour.[2] [0] https://www.israelhayom.com/2020/03/22/the-bright-side-virus-lockdown-cuts-israels-air-pollution-by-30/ https://www.israelhayom.com/2020/03/22/the-bright-side-virus... [1] https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1352231021004490 https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S135223102... [2] https://www.heart.org/en/news/2022/04/22/air-pollution-exposure-may-cause-heart-attack-within-an-hour https://www.heart.org/en/news/2022/04/22/air-pollution-expos...
robocat 4y ago
Their formatting of P values look odd to me - although I can’t find the rules for nature. Examples from the paper: P = 0.740, P = 0.224, P < 0.001 From https://www.graphpad.com/support/faq/how-to-report-p-values-in-journals/ https://www.graphpad.com/support/faq/how-to-report-p-values-... Three styles are summarized below: P value 0.1234 0.01234 0.00123 0.00012 0.00001 APA ".123" "0.012" ".001" "<.001" "<.001" NEJM. "0.12" "0.012" "0.001" "<.001" "<.001" GP. "0.1234" "0.0123" "0.0012" "0.0001" "<0.0001" An example of rules for JMIR, with reasons given for rules: https://support.jmir.org/hc/en-us/articles/360000002012-How-should-P-values-be-reported- https://support.jmir.org/hc/en-us/articles/360000002012-How-... Disclaimer: I am not an academic and I don’t write papers Back on topic. A vaccine has risks. Not having a vaccine has risks. What one really cares about is whether one’s (personal or demographic) risks of serious medical issues are significantly decreased by getting the vaccine, or if one’s psychosomatic psychological issues outweigh the medical benefits. We all know this, but unfortunately discussions often seem to get sidetracked and only consider the risk of the vaccine.

by sgent 4y ago

schiffern 4y ago

No control for air pollution either, since the time series is confounded by a lockdown-induced drop[0][1] and subsequent rebound. Nitrogen dioxide from vehicles and factories seems to cause an increase in heart attacks within one hour.[2] [0] https://www.israelhayom.com/2020/03/22/the-bright-side-virus-lockdown-cuts-israels-air-pollution-by-30/ https://www.israelhayom.com/2020/03/22/the-bright-side-virus... [1] https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1352231021004490 https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S135223102... [2] https://www.heart.org/en/news/2022/04/22/air-pollution-exposure-may-cause-heart-attack-within-an-hour https://www.heart.org/en/news/2022/04/22/air-pollution-expos...

robocat 4y ago

Their formatting of P values look odd to me - although I can’t find the rules for nature. Examples from the paper: P = 0.740, P = 0.224, P < 0.001 From https://www.graphpad.com/support/faq/how-to-report-p-values-in-journals/ https://www.graphpad.com/support/faq/how-to-report-p-values-... Three styles are summarized below: P value 0.1234 0.01234 0.00123 0.00012 0.00001 APA ".123" "0.012" ".001" "<.001" "<.001" NEJM. "0.12" "0.012" "0.001" "<.001" "<.001" GP. "0.1234" "0.0123" "0.0012" "0.0001" "<0.0001" An example of rules for JMIR, with reasons given for rules: https://support.jmir.org/hc/en-us/articles/360000002012-How-should-P-values-be-reported- https://support.jmir.org/hc/en-us/articles/360000002012-How-... Disclaimer: I am not an academic and I don’t write papers Back on topic. A vaccine has risks. Not having a vaccine has risks. What one really cares about is whether one’s (personal or demographic) risks of serious medical issues are significantly decreased by getting the vaccine, or if one’s psychosomatic psychological issues outweigh the medical benefits. We all know this, but unfortunately discussions often seem to get sidetracked and only consider the risk of the vaccine.