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There are a lot of very angry conservatives who are getting angrier by the day. And they own the vast majority of the guns.
by gsibble 4y ago
There are a lot of very angry conservatives who are getting angrier by the day. And they own the vast majority of the guns.
- germinalphrase 4y agoThat cohort is still a numerical minority and while they may own the majority of civilian firearms, the United States government absolutely owns the majority of effective weapons. That said, calling the potential conflict a “domestic insurgency” is not much of a comfort compared to “civil war” even if the former is unlikely to be an existential threat to the country.
- gsibble 4y agoAccording to studies, it only takes 3.5% of a population revolting to foment a successful revolution. I'd argue we're approaching that figure. Might take a few more years, but I could see it in the US in our lifetimes. https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20190513-it-only-takes-35-of-people-to-change-the-world https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20190513-it-only-takes-35...
- germinalphrase 4y agoI’m skeptical. For one example - more than 3.5 percent of the Hong Kong population showed up for a single protest, but the leviathan power still prevailed.
- gsibble 4y agoThey weren't armed.
- germinalphrase 4y agoDid you read your own source? It specifically calls out 3.5 percent nonviolent protest as 2x more effective than violent protest. In any case, it is far more logically that a core of highly motivated protestors causes sudden political revolution because they represent the unrealized/unstated preferences of a popular majority. I don’t believe this is likely in this situation as that cohort’s displeasure is largely due to mass culture (and associated forms of economic, social influence) moving further and further away from them.