2 ms·
This makes a lot of assumptions about interest rates, but it holds up. Buy a house (with mortgage) for 4%. Inflation is 5% a year. Invest the money in real ass
by Raidion 4y ago
This makes a lot of assumptions about interest rates, but it holds up.
Buy a house (with mortgage) for 4%. Inflation is 5% a year. Invest the money in real assets (literally anything diversified).
Your mortgage price goes down in future dollars because of the delta between interest rates and inflation.
Even if inflation isn't happening, mortgage rates tend to be fairly low risk, so any diversified bucket of assets has a historical return greater than the mortgage rate, especially over a 30 year period.
If you bought a 13% mortgage in 1984 (highest), in 30 years, S&P returns 11% by 2014, so even if you never refinance, during the highest interest rates you're only down 2%. If you refinance at basically any time in the 90s/00s you're way ahead.
- bombcar 4y agoThe real takeaway is that the outside factors are going to weigh much more than interest rates vs buy vs etc. If you buy during amazingly low rates, you'll feel happy when the rates shoot up (and maybe sad if you look at Zillow, but if you're not moving who cares?) - and if you buy during rising rates you'll be glad you got in when you did, and if you buy at the peak, well, you can refinance later.