>Russia has been faring so much worse than any observer would've guessed Ehh...not everyone. In 2020 there was a little-commented-on war[1], at least in the ma

>Russia has been faring so much worse than any observer would've guessed Ehh...not everyone. In 2020 there was a little-commented-on war[1], at least in the mainstream press, that saw the first widespread use of drone technology in a peer conflict. Lots of folks who pay attention to this stuff suspected that, at some point, we'd see something similar in a larger war with how new technology affected tactical outcomes. Plus, Russian doctrine appears to have stayed largely static since the days of Soviet Union (massed tank columns, massed artillery, infantry moves in later to pick off what's left). That particular doctrine seems (imo) to be uniquely weak against a modern battlefield that's packed with sensors. Everyone knows, generally speaking, where everything is now so things are telegraphed ahead of time pretty easily. So I guess what I'm saying is this isn't really that surprising. [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_Nagorno-Karabakh_war https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_Nagorno-Karabakh_war