No disagreement there from me. I think the core difference is I have no faith whatsoever in Adobe ever supporting iOS/Android/Whatever other popular mobile plat

No disagreement there from me. I think the core difference is I have no faith whatsoever in Adobe ever supporting iOS/Android/Whatever other popular mobile platforms may arrive adequately with Flash. They've barely managed it well on the desktop (Flash doesn't work well on OS X or Linux). However, I think there's a fair chance that at least Apple and Google might end up with good Canvas or WebGL implementations on some mobile devices. Further if the platform does gain enough momentum, it's open enough that anyone else interested in building a mobile platform will be able to build decent support into devices on their own without having to rely on Adobe (or any other 3rd party) to get their act together.