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I think even the peak oil people said something like "Unless things change, we're going to run out of oil" But more to the point, I have a colleague who regula
by csours 5y ago
I think even the peak oil people said something like "Unless things change, we're going to run out of oil"
But more to the point, I have a colleague who regularly speaks in future-past tense, speaking like some goals have already been accomplished. I complain about it sometimes, but I also think it is useful. I know that sometimes I will get into a problem finding spiral - listing all the things that can go wrong and need to be taken care of before I start a task. I know this is not useful, but it is something my brain does.
I think the wisdom here is realizing that these parts of the brain or people in an organization need to take turns and be very careful about assuming a terminal condition of a system. There are both very real problems to be solved and very real value available.
I'm not sure you can do both at the same time; it may be something our brain rewrites in a more pleasing form after the fact.
- altcognito 5y agoIn the context of this text, it is a fine example, but they were definitely talking about "easily obtained high quality oil", not shale oil, which as the article suggests, was thought to be largely unobtainable at reasonable cost. So, people who love cheap oil seized upon this as proof that doomsaying such as this and Malthusian theory was just wrong. Obviously, even not withstanding shale oil or even abiotic production of oil, we will eventually outstrip our ability to pump oil if we just continue to grow our usage of it ad infinitum.