It's easy to be pessimistic because doomsayers are always right on a long enough timeline. Let's take twitter as a hot button example. Twitter will eventually

It's easy to be pessimistic because doomsayers are always right on a long enough timeline. Let's take twitter as a hot button example. Twitter will eventually fail. As does everything. When it does, everyone is going to revisit their hot takes and point to them as them being uniquely prescient. The focus Ashton Kutcher had on being the first user with a million followers, all the GamerGate stuff, Donald Trump, wilw, SJWs, fail whales, Elon Musk, NFTs, etc. Whatever their point that they decided was the beginning of the end, they'll crow about. They'll crow about how they were right. Twitter did fail. And they'll think that made them right. That their decisions are smart and good because, by golly, they called it. They'll neglect to see why twitter hypothetically failed. And it's likely that the reason they believe twitter failed is not the reason it did fail. Sure, we could trace a thread from the end to their nexus, but we can do that with anything. Everything contributes to everything else, but it's a matter of degrees. If twitter replaces all of its infrastructure with warm, buttered toast, it will fail. And we can trace the mindset behind that decision to any other decision we want. "Well of course twitter did that, they also did X" But that's not to say we shouldn't listen to the cynic. It is the cynic who will warn us of the pitfalls. It is the cynic who tells us that warm, buttered toast cannot host services. The problem is learning which cynic to listen to and when. You don't want to beat the cynic, just his timeline.