5 ms·

9 to 28 times? I figured “excess events per 100,000” means if the control rate is e.g. 200 events per 100,000 then the observed rate after vaccination was 209 t

• kurupt213 4y ago
  that's an increase of 4.5-14% that is huge, especially when you include that the high risk group has virtually no risk from covid infection.
  • maxerickson 4y ago
    In the US, the rate of Covid deaths in 18-29s is something like 10/100,000. So if that is virtually no risk, so is 20 cases of myocarditis (that aren't all lethal) per 100,000. (I used 6100 from https://www.statista.com/statistics/1191568/reported-deaths-from-covid-by-age-us/ https://www.statista.com/statistics/1191568/reported-deaths-... divided by 53 million to get 10/100,00).
    • michaelmrose 4y ago
      Myocarditis in young people post vaccination rather than being (not all lethal) is virtually never lethal.
• radford-neal 4y ago
  They give the excess events for vaccinated individuals compared to those not vaccinated, per 100,000 vaccinations. For males age 16 to 24, the excess per 100,000 vaccinations is 5.55 for Pfizer and 18.39 for Moderna. These numbers might be useful if you were comparing the badness of these events with the goodness of whatever you think is the number of Covid infections prevented per 100,000 vaccinations (which obviously depends on the general prevalence of Covid). They also give a ratio, which could also be interesting, and which you can't deduce from the excess events without knowing the number of events in the reference group.