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The idea of Singularity is promise of personal salvation for Kurzweil. All his predictions are timed so that he as a change to live forever. Kurzweil would be

by nabla9 5y ago

The idea of Singularity is promise of personal salvation for Kurzweil. All his predictions are timed so that he as a change to live forever. Kurzweil would be 97 old by 2045. In the meantime Kurzweil tries desperately to live until Singularity. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ray_Kurzweil#Health_and_aging https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ray_Kurzweil#Health_and_aging >... "250 supplements, eight to 10 glasses of alkaline water and 10 cups of green tea" every day and drinking several glasses of red wine a week in an effort to "reprogram" his biochemistry.[47] By 2008, he had reduced the number of supplement pills to 150.[25] By 2015 Kurzweil further reduced his daily pill regimen down to 100 pills.

qgin 5y ago
The idea of taking 250 supplements together, even if they were individually shown to do something positive, is just nuts. There’s no way anyone could possibly know the interactions that would come out of that kind of polypharmacy. That said, there actually are drugs today (6, in fact) that reliably extend lifespan in model animals by 20%. Of course there hasn’t been enough time to show efficacy in humans but there’s at least a decent chance that even without new discoveries, the average lifespan could be pushed out to late 90s.
- nabla9 5y ago
  That many supplements makes number of your liver if nothing else. Alkaline water is completely debunked. There no evidence or realistic way to have health effects. > reliably extend lifespan in model animals by 20%. This is true. The general rule of thumb seems to be that treatments increase the lifespan of animals inversely to their size. Several promising treatments suggest that if fruit fly and smaller have 2X - 3X lifespan increase, then mice have 20-30%, and finally monkeys and humans get just 3-5% Getting healthy lifespan close to 90 would be a major win even if absolute lifespan would not grow significantly.
  - qgin 5y ago
    And if you were to talk about a 45 year old today living another 45 years… it’s not a crazy idea to think longevity interventions will improve during those 45 years, pushing things out even further.

by nabla9 5y ago

qgin 5y ago

The idea of taking 250 supplements together, even if they were individually shown to do something positive, is just nuts. There’s no way anyone could possibly know the interactions that would come out of that kind of polypharmacy. That said, there actually are drugs today (6, in fact) that reliably extend lifespan in model animals by 20%. Of course there hasn’t been enough time to show efficacy in humans but there’s at least a decent chance that even without new discoveries, the average lifespan could be pushed out to late 90s.

nabla9 5y ago
That many supplements makes number of your liver if nothing else. Alkaline water is completely debunked. There no evidence or realistic way to have health effects. > reliably extend lifespan in model animals by 20%. This is true. The general rule of thumb seems to be that treatments increase the lifespan of animals inversely to their size. Several promising treatments suggest that if fruit fly and smaller have 2X - 3X lifespan increase, then mice have 20-30%, and finally monkeys and humans get just 3-5% Getting healthy lifespan close to 90 would be a major win even if absolute lifespan would not grow significantly.
- qgin 5y ago
  And if you were to talk about a 45 year old today living another 45 years… it’s not a crazy idea to think longevity interventions will improve during those 45 years, pushing things out even further.