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I wonder if that 15 years away has anything to do with perception of time by people of a certain age range. Wrt people changing what they do- yup. Given the wa
by quantified 5y ago
I wonder if that 15 years away has anything to do with perception of time by people of a certain age range.
Wrt people changing what they do- yup. Given the way we soil the environment, I won’t be surprised that a few things will catch us, and also something that wasn’t foreseen in 1970. People who are frothing about lower testosterone levels and sperm counts are not frothing about chemistry that performs these lowerings, for example.
- codefreeordie 5y agoI tend to think that we end up with "about 15 years" because it is long enough that nobody can really gainsay you with confidence, but short enough to be scary. If I tried to start a panic about how [bad thing] would happen in 40 or 50 years, roughly half the population would see that as "long after I'm dead and buried anyway". If I tried to start a panic about how [bad thing] would happen in 3 or 4 years, people would remember my claims when the [bad thing] didn't happen, and my career as a wielder of influence would be over.