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It really isn't if the interest rate is below inflation. If it's below inflation, the mortgage is yielding real-dollar value. That's an asset in my eyes. It's
by arcticbull 5y ago
It really isn't if the interest rate is below inflation. If it's below inflation, the mortgage is yielding real-dollar value. That's an asset in my eyes.
It's a calendar spread. Last year, you were buying 2021 dollars for a fixed rate (2.675% APR in my case), but you different vintage dollars over time. You owe 2022 dollars in 2022, and 2031 dollars in 2031. A 2051 dollar is almost certainly going to be worth significantly less than a 2021 dollar.
So you're buying 1 2021 vintage USD, but at the extreme, you're paying it back with 2.2 2050 dollars. If we expect inflation to be an average of say, 3% over that period, each 2021 vintage USD should be worth at least 2.42 2021 vintage dollars. So in this example, you're earning real dollars over this period.
- dragonwriter 5y ago> It really isn't if the coupon rate is below inflation It's a liability in the amount of the balance. I suppose you could consider the present value of the “income” stream of the difference between inflation and interest over the life of the loan as an asset, but unless it's a very unusual loan, any income stream of that kind is likely to be a transitory effect, and interest is likely to be be a real as well as nominal expense considered over the life of the loan.
- arcticbull 5y agoIndeed, you are of course correct! I'm just hoping folks look at mortgages not as a strictly bad thing, but as a tool in their financial arsenal. They can be good! I think most folks are stuck in nominal dollar mode, and it can really help to look at things in real dollar terms. I think I may have been loose with my words.