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There are far too many counties and entities wanting to start building nuclear power plants and keep old ones running. Present economically viable sources of u
by ThinkBeat 5y ago
There are far too many counties and entities wanting to start building nuclear power plants and keep old ones running.
Present economically viable sources of uranium will last 150 - 300 years.
This article from 2009 puts the number at at least 200 years. [1]
[ ]
With the number of new reactors coming online (being constructed now),
old ones keep running, and new plant construction would cut that number
significantly.
There is a lot of be claimed from the ocean, current that is not economical.
(and I thibnk it wouldl be horrible for the ocean ecosystem to sift through such volumes).
So usually the argument is
a) That reactors will use torium so it wont be a problem.
b) We will build fuel-recycling fast-breeder reactors already
has enough fuel to run for a billion years.
As far as I know (and on this I might well be), there are no big
commercial thorium or fast breeder reactors in commercial use.
If true that means
a) we cannot build them today, if we want nuclear power fast the reactors
will be tried and true LWRs
b) if we wait for research to finish up it might take a while.
So, the immediate need for power cannot reasonably be met by nuclear.
Waiting for it to replace coal and fossile fuels will not do much in the
immediate future.
Now building a nuclear plant in a democracy filled with bureaucracy is
an extremely long process anyways. Getting all the permits required for
where to build, how to build it, all the protests because nobody wants
it close to them.
When the plant is ready to start construction of a is fast breeder reactor that is economically, scientifically and environmentally viable.
It would be dumb for all the countries to start building Gen 1.
That is more of a beta best.
Get at least a decade of metrics to learn what works, what does not work,
how could it be optimized, what went wrong? Plus, scientific progress would
make Gen2 a better alternative as a template.
After all after Chernobyl and Fukushima I have heard
"Well, those were old plants and we dont build them like that anymore.
The new ones are much safer".
Then building a fast breeder or thorium should be given time to learn
from the process.
I might be totally wrong about how far along the research for fast breeders
and thorium is, and that would make most of the above pointless.
[1]
https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/how-long-will-global-uranium-deposits-last/ https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/how-long-will-glo...