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There was a war in Ukraine since 2014. But that is a far cry from predicting the scale of invasion and mass murder that happens now.

• watwut 5y ago
  To be clear, she did not predicted that "war will continue as is". She said something of the lines of "Of course there will be bigger war in Ukraine. I hear about army moving to the border from all sides. This is not exercise, no, this is not how exercises look like". That was paraphrase, not quotation. But specifically she was guessing based on what she heard about units movements. And also, as for mass murder, knowing enough about Russia army behavior in past conflicts, it is not like it would be reasonable to expect them to not commit at least some mass murders. Military not knowing as in "some low level unit" being clueless is perfectly plausible. Military as in "no one in leadership had any idea" is not really.
  • bayesian_horse 5y ago
    I can also predict the US is going to have a major war. When exactly? Well, that's the big question...
    • SideburnsOfDoom 5y ago
      Not a relevant comment. Many people predicted at the start of 2022 not just that Russia would have a major war, but that is was very likely to happen a) within a few months and b) with Ukraine. Why? because as parent comment have already explained, Russia was massing troops on the border.