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You seem to be implying that increased EV usage will dramatically decrease the need for oil refinement. Do you have any evidence of this? In just the US, EV pu
by PheonixPharts 5y ago
You seem to be implying that increased EV usage will dramatically decrease the need for oil refinement. Do you have any evidence of this?
In just the US, EV purchases have grown nearly exponentially over the past decade [0]. However total petroleum consumption in the US has slowly but steadily risen [1] during the same period (excluding, of course, the pandemic). Gasoline consumption has remained roughly flat.
There's a common and understandable assumption that "more green technology usage means lower GHG emissions" but in reality there is little evidence to support this. Globally, green energy usage has only served to supplement energy demands.
Since the industrial revolution we, as a species, have never reduced our usage of an energy source [3] Surprisingly we still burn as much wood as we did when every home was heated by wood burning.
The only dips we ever see in GHG emissions are during periods of economic disruption, but that's a path people are very unwilling to even discuss so it's not worth bringing up.
Point being, people dramatically over estimate the certainty that an increase in EVs will someone also mean a decrease in overall oil consumption.
0. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Plug-in_electric_vehicles_in_the_United_States#/media/File:US_PEV_Sales_2010_by_PHEV_vs_BEV.png https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Plug-in_electric_vehicles_in_t...
1. https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WRPUPUS2&f=W https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=W...
2. https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/global-energy-substitution?country=~OWID_WRL https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/global-energy-substitutio...