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> I think his plan B will be to start a competitor I hope it isnt: I think that starting a top down, meaning "look I built this, everyone move over from twitte
by version_five 5y ago
> I think his plan B will be to start a competitor
I hope it isnt: I think that starting a top down, meaning "look I built this, everyone move over from twitter", competitor has a very low probability of success, regardless of who starts it. There is too much of an attack surface, there will be too much drama on real Twitter about it, early adopters will be gun nuts or some other out group and that will be how they get characterized, etc etc.
The real chance at a competitor would be something that grew organically, that people wanted to move to because it offered something valuable before it reaches scale. This is how actual businesses start. The top down approach is how massive flops happen.
Incidentally, the same holds true for the Facebook metaverse and imo suggests it will certainly fail
- ratboy666 5y agoRemember that this IS Musk; not very predictable. But I'm going to try... Since Musk has stated that this was NOT to make money, I imagine that triggering the poison pill, and THEN dumping the shares would tank the stock. Musk did say "final offer, and if rejected, re-evaluate". The poison pill trigger? Not something talked about. I hold some shares of TWTR, and would continue. For the lulz.
- recuter 5y agoYou're probably right. On the other hand he is one of their biggest users and has a lot of celebrity friends. There's too much drama on real twitter about it anyway. They might be stupid enough to ban him too soon, and if they keep on doing that nobody will want to use it. A lot of the top users haven't tweeted in over a year.