23 ms·
That’s what I was thinking; if the average is about constant all you’ve shown is that everyone is bad at self-assessment (another issue - not fully qualifying a
by kizer 4y ago
That’s what I was thinking; if the average is about constant all you’ve shown is that everyone is bad at self-assessment (another issue - not fully qualifying a distribution by just using the average loses information).
But a comment above quoting the more recent paper presents a contradictory conclusion: that humans can self-assess with some accuracy. So now I’m confused again.
- d0mine 4y agoYou might have meant this comment https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=31039901 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=31039901 (it says people can self-assess (no bias), more competent people do it better (less variance))