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> I think one thing that you and others in the US should realise is that the US won't be able to check Chinese military power in the Pacific indefinitely. I ag
by ericmay 5y ago
> I think one thing that you and others in the US should realise is that the US won't be able to check Chinese military power in the Pacific indefinitely.
I agree, well, in theory. But anything can happen. The US could dissolve. China could have a revolution. China could stop caring. Who knows? But for the foreseeable future I think that this is the case (US can check China in the Pacific).
But to your point, it seems inevitable that the US will maintain interests but likely lose its current foothold in Asia. But that just lends credit to my statements that China won't invade Taiwan. There's no point when you can just wait for the inevitable. They rushed it in Hong Kong and delayed this inevitability by scaring the Taiwanese who were lukewarm toward China and increasingly warming up via economic ties and Chinese influence on Taiwanese politicians. But similarly to Hong Kong, if China were to invade not only is there a serious chance that they would be defeated by the US and allies, if that fail to take Taiwan in a meaningful strategic sense they'd likely just cause themselves harm internally and further delay what appears to me to be an eventual loss of US presence.