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I don't think a lockdown (and more important China's Zero-Covid goal!) is working with Omicron. The problem is that a complete lockdown like China does is not t
by GekkePrutser 5y ago
I don't think a lockdown (and more important China's Zero-Covid goal!) is working with Omicron. The problem is that a complete lockdown like China does is not tenable in Europe. We won't let ourselves be locked in without access to food, or let the government come in and kill our pets. Even the latter alone would lead to extreme unrest (and rightly so, I won't let my pets be killed for an illness they can recover from!)
So it will keep spreading through shops, keep re-entering from outher countries. We won't stamp it out. In Europe we're just too integrated for this approach to work. We have to give up way too much to justify killing a virus as mild as covid is now. In a country without liberty like China it is possible but you see their society groaning under the strain already.
You can see the same at other countries that were successful isolating them at first (e.g. Australia, New Zealand) due to the benefits of being an island nation. But with the latest mutations they have been unable to keep them out. Zero-covid is just over.
> It will be a week or two. The way the Netherlands locked down is ineffective, because they waited way too long. If you wait untill the health system is on the verge of collapsing every time, you will paradoxically have many more lockdowns.
The Netherlands were just being stupid. There was no risk of their health system collapsing, they just refused to acknowledge the other countries' experience and kept calculating with data from the delta-era.