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It would be a deterrent to a China’s invasion as long as China is still lacking in semiconductor manufacturing. It allows Taiwan and the West to buy time. 10 ye
by signatoremo 5y ago
It would be a deterrent to a China’s invasion as long as China is still lacking in semiconductor manufacturing. It allows Taiwan and the West to buy time. 10 years? 20 years? Who knows what will happen during that time — Xi may have died, the West will have diversified the semiconductor industry, a new generation of Chinese can grow past nationalism and recognize Taiwanese people’s will for independence.
- mytailorisrich 5y agoThe issue of Chinese re-unification goes beyond Xi and "nationalism" used pejoratively... Especially, China has a long history of struggling to achieve and hold national unity that dates back millenia before the CPC. This is mixed with the last two centuries of being the victim of foreign aggression. It's not that the people in Taiwan overwhelmingly want 'independence', by that I mean that they oppose re-unification, is that they do not want the communists (which is the whole reason of the current situation in the first place), and the 'independence' camp is suiting US interests. Ultimately I believe that the mainland is willing to sustain a level of economic pain to get hold of Taiwan but this would be calculated based on domestic politics, not TSMC's fabs.
- starfallg 5y agoI don't see how any of the points you raised makes the destruction of TSMC facilities less of an deterrent. A deterrent doesn't have to be 100% effective, it just needs to have a deterrent effect. TSMC itself also doesn't want to be subjugated by a PRC invasion. It's not just a play to protect US interests. Not sure what the motive is to portray it like that.