3 ms·
Unless Russia can overwhelm the Ukraine defenses in one massive battle, victory is all but assured. They failed to do so in the first attack and now the west is
by _ph_ 5y ago
Unless Russia can overwhelm the Ukraine defenses in one massive battle, victory is all but assured. They failed to do so in the first attack and now the west is pouring ressources into the Ukraine. As long as the west is willing to do so, the Ukraine might actually have a better supply perspective, not counting even the embargo cutting Russia off a lot of supplies.
After all, that Russia managed to defend itself against the Germans in WW2 had a lot to do with the supplies it got from the US.
- sliken 5y agoEven if successful, they have nowhere near enough soldiers to occupy Ukraine afterwards. See Syria or Afghanistan on how well that goes.
- _ph_ 5y agoThat for sure. Especially as all the Ukraine resistance fighters would find open borders to e.g. Poland across which they could resupply easily. However you look at it, this war cannot have a positive outcome for Russia, unless just laying Ukraine to waste is enough for them. This is my greatest fear that complete destruction would be a success for Putin and he would be willing to go all the way to achieve it. Like using nukes. My big hope though is, especially after withdrawing from quite a lot of regions of the Ukraine already occupied, that after all the losses, the Ukraine together with the supply from the west might be able to hold new offenses from the east and perhaps even push them back. That depends a lot of how many reserves Russia still has and which further weapons they are willing to use.