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7 in 12k is way less than the rate you'd expect in the overall population. It's 0.5 in 1000 people. The US' overall death rate was 8.8 per 1000 in 2020.
by fps_doug 4y ago
7 in 12k is way less than the rate you'd expect in the overall population. It's 0.5 in 1000 people. The US' overall death rate was 8.8 per 1000 in 2020.
- contravariant 4y agoIt's still thousands of potential deaths, and nearing a million for all of China. And that's before taking into account the fact that this will be an underestimation since deaths tend to trail the infection count by something like 2 weeks. Still more alarming than ridiculous in my books.
- fps_doug 4y ago> It's still thousands of potential deaths, and nearing a million for all of China. People die all the time. Every day. Shanghai has 25M people. Let's assume the US's annual death rate of 8.8 per 1000. That's 220k deaths per year, or 4230 deaths per week. Statistically with the current numbers, getting everybody infected would result in less deaths than having no covid at all :o) Sure, we'll only see real deaths with a delay of a few weeks, so that's witless, but as stated in my sibling comment in this thread, Omicron seems not to deliver on this from my personal experiences at all. Having a total lock-down over it seems absolutely ridiculous to me.
- contravariant 4y agoI'm willing to call the Shanghai lock-down ridiculous, because it seems to be doing quite a lot of harm and doesn't serve any kind of realistic end goal. But I am worried about the effectiveness of their vaccines and the rate at which the disease will eventually spread.
- tharne 4y agoYou're also assuming that the Chinese government is reporting the numbers accurately and honestly, and that's a big assumption considering how much effort they put into burying the truth about COVID in late 2019 / early 2020.