This feels a little... Too convenient. Would love to see an analysis that covers all confounders. That is, I'm sympathetic to the idea that a lot of what we d

This feels a little... Too convenient. Would love to see an analysis that covers all confounders. That is, I'm sympathetic to the idea that a lot of what we did was probably not super helpful. I'm less inclined to believe that a counterfactual world had fewer deaths. Seems more likely that, while we could have protected nursing homes better, most everything else was likely to look very similar to how it did. I mean, I get the butterfly flapping a wing argument. But in general, large things moving in a direction tend to arrive where they are headed.